Browsing by Author "Raag, Mait"

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    Nationwide study on development and validation of a risk prediction model for CIN3+ and cervical cancer in Estonia
    (2024-10-19) Tisler, Anna; Võrk, Andres; Tammemägi, Martin; Ojavee, Sven Erik; Raag, Mait; Šavrova, Aleksandra; Nygård, Mari; Nygård, Jan F; Stankunas, Mindaugas; Kivite-Urtane, Anda; Uusküla, Anneli; Institute of Public Health
    Transitioning to an individualized risk-based approach can significantly enhance cervical cancer screening programs. We aimed to derive and internally validate a prediction model for assessing the risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or higher (CIN3+) and cancer in women eligible for screening. This retrospective study utilized data from the Estonian electronic health records, including 517,884 women from the health insurance database and linked health registries. We employed Cox proportional hazard regression, incorporating reproductive and medical history variables (14 covariates), and utilized the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for variable selection. A 10-fold cross-validation for internal validation of the model was used. The main outcomes were the performance of discrimination and calibration. Over the 8-year follow-up, we identified 1326 women with cervical cancer and 5929 with CIN3+, with absolute risks of 0.3% and 1.1%, respectively. The prediction model for CIN3 + and cervical cancer had good discriminative power and was well calibrated Harrell's C of 0.74 (0.73-0.74) (calibration slope 1.00 (0.97-1.02) and 0.67 (0.66-0.69) (calibration slope 0.92 (0.84-1.00) respectively. A developed model based on nationwide electronic health data showed potential utility for risk stratification to supplement screening efforts. This work was supported through grants number PRG2218 from the Estonian Research Council, and EMP416 from the EEA (European Economic Area) and Norway Grants.
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    Self-reported testing, HIV status and associated risk behaviours among people who inject drugs in Europe : Important differences between East and West
    (2014-07-17) Uuskula, Anneli; Raag, Mait; Folch, Cinta; Prasad, Leonie; Karnite, Anda; van Veen, Maaike G.; Eritsyan, Ksenia; Rosińska, Magdalena; Des Jarlais, Don C; Wiessing, Lucas; Department of Public Health and Epidemiology
    Aims: To describe HIV-related risk behaviours, HIV testing and HIV status among people who inject drugs (PWIDs) in the 2000 in European countries with high-prevalence HIV epidemics among PWID. Methods: Data from 12 cross-sectional studies among PWID from seven countries were used. Meta-analysis was used to synthesize the data and meta-regression to explain heterogeneity [in addition to deriving adjusted odds ratios (AORmeta)]. Results: Data on 1791 PWID from western (the West) and 3537 from central and eastern (the East) European countries were available. The mean age of participating PWIDs was 30.6 years (SD 7.9), 75% were men, and 36% [95% confidence interval 34-37%) were HIV-infected (30% West, 38% East); 22% had not previously been tested for HIV. The prevalence of reported high-risk behaviour was significantly higher among PWID from the East. Comparison of HIV-infected and uninfected PWID within countries yielded similar results across all countries: HIV-infected PWID were less likely to be sexually active [AORmeta 0.69 (0.58-0.81)], reported less unprotected sex [AORmeta 0.59 (0.40-0.83)], but reported more syringe sharing [AORmeta 1.70 (1.30-2.00)] and more frequent injecting [AORmeta 1.40 (1.20-1.70)] than their HIV-uninfected counterparts. Conclusion: Despite the absolute differences in reported risk behaviours among PWID in western and eastern Europe, the associations of risk behaviours with HIV status were similar across the sites and regions. There is a substantial potential for further HIV transmission and acquisition based on the continuous risk behaviours reported. HIV prevention and harm reduction interventions targeting PWID should be evaluated.